GIGA Analysis: A stronger Chinese influence at the G20 unlikely
In the context of Donald Trump ascending to the US presidency and the expected retreat of the United States from the international stage, a growing topic of discussion is who might fill the resulting gap and maintain the global order. With a view to the G20, experts from the GIGA German Institute of Global and Area Studies and Goethe University Frankfurt am Main believe it is unlikely that China will take on this role.
“It seems unlikely that China would offer the kind of visionary leadership necessary to fill the hegemonic vacuum should the United States continue to disengage from global governance,” write GIGA senior research fellow Prof. Heike Holbig and Dr. des. Sebastian Biba of Goethe University Frankfurt am Main in their analysis.
The researchers see a “narrow corridor” for cooperation between G20 members China and the European Union in regard to the crisis of globalisation: “Only if the G20 agenda stays focused on core financial and economic issues will China remain a facilitative player in this grouping.”
In their recommendations to political decision makers, the authors urge giving developing and emerging economies a bigger say in the international order and global institutions such as the G20. Only in this way can the world order be designed through these institutions – and only in this way can the phenomenon of emerging countries seeking alternative forums to exert political influence be avoided.
The complete analysis GIGA Focus Asia 2/2017: “China in the G20: A Narrow Corridor for Sino-European Cooperation” is available at the GIGA website.
In the run-up to the G20 summit, the GIGA publishes short analyses on various aspects of the G20 and discusses these ideas at public events. Further information can be found at www.giga-hamburg.de/g20.
Press Contacts
Verena Schweiger
Head of Communications Department
presse@giga-hamburg.de, Tel. +49 40 42825-558
Prof. Dr. Heike Holbig
Senior Research Fellow
heike.holbig@giga-hamburg.de, Tel. +49 40 428874-27
About the GIGA
The GIGA German Institute of Global and Area Studies is an independent social science research institute based in Hamburg, Germany. It studies political, social, and economic developments in Africa, Asia, Latin America, and the Middle East, as well as global issues. As a member of the Leibniz Association, it is committed to the principle of “theoria cum praxi”: science for the benefit of society.
The GIGA is part of the T20 (Think-20) network, which serves as an “idea bank” for the G20 and offers research-based political consultation services. The GIGA is also an active participant in the C20 (Civil-20) network, which is dedicated to fostering exchange between civil society organisations.
Weitere Informationen:
https://www.giga-hamburg.de/en/publication/china-in-the-G20 GIGA Focus Asia 2/2017: “China in the G20: A Narrow Corridor for Sino-European Cooperation”
http://www.giga-hamburg.de/en/g20 The GIGA and the G20
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