MCC: compiling insights on the Paris Agreement, carbon footprint and sustainable economic activity
To fight the corona pandemic, compiling the findings of various individual pieces of scientific work into meta-studies is of obvious significance. Research synthesis also enhances our knowledge of global warming. Does the global climate agreement help? What can the individual contribute? Is economic growth compatible with climate protection? Three meta-studies offer answers to these questions including contributions of the Berlin-based climate research institute MCC (Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change). They have now been published in Environmental Research Letters.
The renowned journal is currently putting together a selection of meta-studies as support for the next assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), with MCC acting as a coordinator. In the first meta-study now published, a research team led by the Hertie School of Governance in Berlin reviews the literature on the Paris Agreement. It explores how the agreement is assessed in roughly 300 relevant individual studies, which of its mechanisms are analysed, and which drivers, obstacles, and recommendations scientists consider to be most important regarding success. „To our knowledge, this is the first application of systematic evidence synthesis to this part of literature,” reports Ulrike Kornek, head of the MCC working group Governance and co-author. She points out the following key arguments: „The Paris Agreement must overcome barriers to transparency, it needs stronger provisions against free-riding of states, but it creates substantial impact in terms of political norms and learning processes.“
The second meta-study focuses on reductions to the individual carbon footprint. To this end, a team of researchers led by the University of Leeds reviewed some 7,000 articles and identified 781 options. „The mobility sector is particularly promising considering the extent of individual contributions to emissions reduction,“ reports Felix Creutzig, head of the MCC working group Land Use, Infrastructure and Transport and co-author. „The average reduction of annual emissions estimated in the literature when discussing to live car-free, drive electric, or abstain from one long-haul return flight is around two tons of CO₂.” Other effective individual choices would include changing the diet to more plant-based products, as well as using or generating electricity from renewable sources. “However, many of these options need political support,“ emphasises Creutzig. „It remains the responsibility of governments to ensure that individuals can protect the climate effectively.”
In a third meta-study consisting of two parts, a research team led by the University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences in Vienna evaluates roughly 11,000 articles explaining the relationship between economic growth and greenhouse gas emissions. Only very few case analyses describe a true decoupling, i.e. reducing emissions while increasing economic performance, namely for European countries investing heavily in renewable energies. „Massive public investments in carbon-neutral infrastructures are an essential precondition for decoupling,“ says MCC researcher and co-author Creutzig. „This is also relevant when it comes to putting together economic stimulus packages after the end of the corona pandemic while establishing more sustainable economic activities at the same time.“
Raiser, K., Kornek, U., Flachsland, C., Lamb, W., 2020, Is the Paris Agreement Effective? A systematic map of the evidence, Environmental Research Letters,
Ivanova, D., Barrett, J., Wiedenhofer, D., Macura, B., Callaghan, M., Creutzig, F., 2020, Quantifying the potential for climate change mitigation of consumption options, Environmental Research Letters, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab8589
Haberl, H., et al., 2020, A systematic review of the evidence on decoupling of GDP, resource use and GHG emissions, part II: synthesizing the insights, Environmental Research Letters